TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of their upcoming football match. The outcome hinges on whether the combined score exceeds various thresholds. Only points from the second quarter contribute to the result.
The market resolves based on the combined points scored by Atlanta and Tampa Bay during the second quarter of their November 1, 2026 game. Multiple thresholds are defined, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams in the second quarter exceed any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward these markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes prove more accurate than traditional odds, particularly when factoring in a broad range of perspectives. This can be a useful tool for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter total score. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair probability of the total score being above or below the implied threshold. Traders can take either side of the market, essentially betting on their prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total score of the 2nd quarter between the Falcons and Buccaneers is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to view the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Falcons or the Buccaneers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. In-game performance during the 1st quarter, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could contribute to price fluctuations before Nov 1, 2026.