TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Atlanta and Tampa Bay in the second half of their football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of scoring intensity in the latter part of the match.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Atlanta and Tampa Bay in the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods that follow count toward these markets. All markets share the same secondary rule regarding the counting period, ensuring consistency across different scoring thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the final result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of the second half total exceeding the specified threshold.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the second half of the Atlanta Falcons versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under the specified number. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or key defensive players on either the Buccaneers or the Falcons would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or strong winds are predicted, could also impact the expected scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also influence trading behavior on Kalshi.