TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tampa Bay or Atlanta will win their professional football game scheduled for November 1st, 2026. Currently, the probability of Tampa Bay winning on Kalshi is 84.0%, while Atlanta winning is at 17.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the game, as determined by the game outcome itself. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Tampa Bay wins the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the professional football game between the two teams scheduled for November 1, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. The outcome is determined solely by the official game result, and the market is not influenced by any affiliations with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, it could suggest that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's current probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay game. Traders are constantly updating their views, which are reflected in the changing prices.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay game, as reported by official sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predicted outcome matched the actual result. The platform will verify the outcome against established data sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable would likely have a substantial impact. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market.