TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:11 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which Tampa Bay player or unit will score the team's first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Atlanta. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defense, with outcomes determined by game events.
The markets determine whether a specified Tampa Bay player or the team's defense scores the first touchdown in the game against Atlanta. Each player-specific market resolves to Yes if that player scores the first Tampa Bay touchdown. If the player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes a snap, the market resolves based on whether they score the first touchdown. If no Tampa Bay touchdowns are scored, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. The defense market follows the same logic, resolving to Yes if the defense scores the first Tampa Bay touchdown. All markets are independent, and the outcome of one does not affect the others beyond the condition of no touchdowns scored.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome. Currently, the market is actively trading, and the price of contracts fluctuates based on new information and shifts in sentiment regarding the first Tampa Bay touchdown.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, following the completion of the Atlanta versus Tampa Bay game. The outcome will be determined by which player scores the first touchdown for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, as verified against credible public reporting of the game's events. The resolution will reflect the official game statistics and will be based on the first touchdown scored, regardless of the method (rushing, passing, or receiving). The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome and 0 for all others, reflecting the certainty of the event's result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key Tampa Bay offensive players, particularly those frequently targeted in the red zone, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected game plan and affect the probability of certain players scoring. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about the opposing defense’s strategy or vulnerabilities could move the market. Even significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends, can influence the price of contracts in this market.