TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of an upcoming football game between Atlanta and Tampa Bay. Each market focuses on whether the combined points scored by both teams will exceed a specific number by the end of the first quarter. The outcomes depend solely on the actual game performance during that initial period.
These markets assess whether the combined score of Atlanta and Tampa Bay in the first quarter of their November 1, 2026, game exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Each threshold defines a separate market outcome (Yes/No), with all markets exclusively considering points scored during the first quarter of play. No points from subsequent quarters influence any market resolution. The governing body's official scoring rules apply, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league. All trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by traders predicting the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a particular result is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts than traditional betting odds, as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the first quarter total will be over or under a specific number. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price represents the cost to buy a 'yes' contract, or the amount you would receive if you sold one, assuming the outcome matches your position.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter of the Atlanta Falcons versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceed the threshold defined by the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Falcons or the Buccaneers would likely cause significant movement, as it impacts the expected scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect the scoring environment and shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.