TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Atlanta team will win its professional basketball game against San Antonio. Currently, the probability of Atlanta winning on Kalshi is 93.0%, while San Antonio winning is at 8.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Atlanta vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 8, 2026, as the result of that contest will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Atlanta vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game scheduled for October 8, 2026. If Atlanta wins, the Atlanta market resolves to Yes; if San Antonio wins, the San Antonio market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the original time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may adjust based on betting action. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities among participants in each venue. It's a good way to see where public sentiment differs from professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their prediction is correct.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atlanta versus San Antonio game as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which team is declared the winner, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources as the game progresses to understand how the resolution will be determined and when it will be finalized.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance in prior games, or shifts in team momentum, could also influence trader sentiment. Major news events impacting the teams or the league as a whole could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.