TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team—Atlanta or Orlando—will win a professional basketball game scheduled for October 21, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Orlando a 69.0% probability of winning, while Atlanta is at 32.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Atlanta vs Orlando Pro Basketball game, as determined by which team has the higher point total at the game’s conclusion. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Atlanta wins the game originally scheduled for October 21, 2026, and will be finalized by the resolution date of October 22, 2026.
If Atlanta wins the Atlanta vs Orlando Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Orlando wins the Atlanta vs Orlando Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and the price adjusts as more information and opinions enter the system. While sportsbooks may quickly adjust to news, prediction markets can sometimes incorporate a broader range of perspectives and react differently to the same information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts the perceived probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders directly buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their predicted outcome comes to pass.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Atlanta vs Orlando matchup, as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the official reporting of the game’s results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Atlanta or Orlando teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies, unexpected roster moves, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, public perception shifts based on analyst predictions or media coverage can drive trading activity. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or significant changes in team performance leading up to the event, are also likely to move the market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price movements.