TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will win the second half of a scheduled women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and New York. The outcome depends solely on performance during the specified half of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes.
If New York is the winner of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the Atlanta vs New York women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta is the winner of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the Atlanta vs New York women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the Atlanta vs New York women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each team winning the second half. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each team winning the second half. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the end of the game, the more volatile prices may become as new information impacts trader confidence. The current market price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if your chosen team wins the second half.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team has the higher cumulative score during the second half of the game. The official game statistics will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning team. Traders holding a contract for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The platform will automatically process payouts based on the verified result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even unexpected performance from individual players could all shift trader sentiment. Significant news regarding team morale or coaching decisions might also impact prices. Furthermore, any updates on the overall health and availability of key players will be closely watched. Real-time game statistics during the first half could also provide clues and influence trading activity, as traders adjust their predictions based on early performance.