TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and New York. It focuses solely on the performance during the first half of regulation time, ignoring the final game result. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the rescheduled date, with specific conditions for cancellation.
If New York is the winner of the first half of regulation time in the Atlanta vs New York women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta is the winner of the first half of regulation time in the Atlanta vs New York women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the first half of regulation time in the Atlanta vs New York women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe Atlanta is likely to lead at halftime, the price of the 'yes' contract will increase, potentially moving beyond what sportsbooks are offering. However, sportsbook odds can also influence trading activity in this market, as traders may seek to capitalize on perceived discrepancies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Atlanta will be winning at halftime. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, making it a dynamic and informative indicator of expectations for the game's first half.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official halftime score will be used to determine whether Atlanta was leading at the end of the second quarter. The result will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available from sports news outlets and the league's official website. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to finalize the market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Atlanta or New York would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-game polls, could affect the volume and price of contracts in this market. Major in-game events during the first quarter could also cause rapid adjustments.