TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance thresholds for both teams in an upcoming football game. Bettors can assess whether each team will surpass specific yardage milestones, offering varied levels of difficulty for predictions.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Atlanta or New Orleans in their game scheduled for October 5, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team achieves the exact yardage threshold or higher as defined in each market (e.g., 250+, 300+, up to 450+ yards). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve using the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome, or perhaps information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different perspective than fixed sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular yardage range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the total yards achieved in the game. Traders are constantly updating their views, leading to price fluctuations.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total yards for both the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the total yards achieved. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total yards fall within the range of contracts offered, and to 0 otherwise. The final yardage total will be the deciding factor for payout.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a storm is predicted, could also impact expectations for passing and rushing yardage. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or defensive adjustments could also shift the market. Finally, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can influence trader sentiment and contribute to price fluctuations in this market.