TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of both teams in a specific football game by measuring how many times they successfully tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcomes depend on whether each team reaches various threshold values for such tackles during the match.
The markets resolve based on the total number of sacks achieved by each team during the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for October 5, 2026. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from the count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Atlanta or New Orleans, with resolution dependent on whether the team's performance meets or exceeds the designated level.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely exchanging their opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional odds, though this isn’t always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a ‘yes’ contract indicates the probability of the total number of sacks exceeding a certain threshold, while a ‘no’ contract represents the probability of it falling below that threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust these prices based on their analysis of team performance, injuries, and other relevant factors, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the Atlanta versus New Orleans game will be used to determine whether the ‘yes’ or ‘no’ contract will pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the data has been verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Atlanta or New Orleans defensive lines would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for a pass-heavy offense (leading to more sack opportunities), could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in defensive strategies announced leading up to the game could further contribute to volatility in this market. Finally, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role.