TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:28 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of both teams in a specific football game by focusing on how many field goals they score. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of field goals made by either Atlanta or New Orleans, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring efficiency.
The markets resolve based on the total number of field goals scored by each team in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for October 5, 2026. For each team, separate markets exist for achieving 1+, 2+, 3+, and 4+ field goals. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The outcome of each market is directly tied to whether the specified team's field goal count meets or exceeds the threshold defined in the market's title.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders collectively believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific number of field goals, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand for each contract. The current market reflects what traders believe is the most likely scenario for the game.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of field goals scored in the Atlanta versus New Orleans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the contract representing the correct total number of field goals will pay out $1.00. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts within Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official statistics.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key players – such as the starting quarterback or kicker for either team – and their injury status would likely cause significant movement. Weather conditions, particularly wind, can heavily impact field goal success rates and therefore shift trader sentiment. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or changes to the game plan could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and move the price, even without external news.