TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves tracking the performance of a player in a football game between two teams scheduled for a specific date. The focus is on measuring a particular statistical achievement by the player during the match. The outcome will be determined by the actual recorded statistics from the game.
If Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by Bijan Robinson during the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's prices are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously taking opposing positions in the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and this market both have their own inherent advantages and disadvantages in terms of information and expertise.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different rushing yard thresholds. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price represents the probability that the specified rushing yard total will be exceeded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential outcome for the Atlanta versus New Orleans game.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard statistics from the Atlanta versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for each team will be used to determine which contracts settle in the money. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final results and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Atlanta or New Orleans teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for running, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could influence traders' expectations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable price fluctuations in this market.