TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a football game between two teams, focusing on the performance of a specific player. The outcome is determined by the number of rushing yards the player achieves during the game. The payout varies based on the range of rushing yards the player accumulates.
If Each Yes contract pays per rushing yards by Bijan Robinson in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026. Each 10 rushing yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the implied probabilities from this market to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially identifying value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, indicating potential support and resistance levels.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Atlanta versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market will settle based on the officially recorded rushing yards for both teams combined, as determined by the NFL’s official statistics, and will be verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game plan. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player availability or team tactics, even rumors, can influence trading activity and move the prices in this market. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in market sentiment.