TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Bijan Robinson will achieve 90 or more rushing yards in the Atlanta versus New Orleans football game. Currently, the probability of Bijan Robinson exceeding 90 rushing yards on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Kendre Miller records 20+ rushing yards in the game originally scheduled for October 5, 2026, as determined by the game statistics. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled game date of October 5, 2026, on October 6, 2026.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player achieves the exact rushing yard threshold stated in the primary rule during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined solely by the total rushing yards they record. All markets are independent and resolve separately according to their specific yardage requirements.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook’s oddsmakers. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value early on, before the prediction market fully incorporates all relevant information. It’s common to see differences in probabilities, particularly when public perception differs from informed analysis. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges for the Atlanta and New Orleans game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. The closer we get to the event, the more the prices will likely converge as new information becomes available and uncertainty decreases. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Atlanta versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. No further action will be required from traders once the event concludes and the data is verified. The platform will automatically settle all outstanding contracts based on the final, official rushing yardage totals.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team are a major catalyst, as are changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game plan. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant updates on player availability, even minor ones, can influence trading activity. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities can also contribute to price movements in this market.