TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball on the ground during an upcoming football game between Atlanta and New Orleans. The focus is on whether star running backs reach certain thresholds of carries, reflecting their potential workload and role in the offense.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing attempts recorded by designated players during the Atlanta vs New Orleans game scheduled for Oct 5, 2026. For any player listed, if they are active for the game but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of rushing attempts they record during the game. All outcomes are binary (Yes/No) depending on whether the player's rushing attempts meet or exceed the specified threshold for each market.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. You may find that the probabilities implied by this market diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or as traders react to developments. This difference can stem from varying levels of expertise, access to information, or simply different approaches to assessing probabilities. It’s useful to compare both to get a broader view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a higher rushing attempt total is likely, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up its price. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing attempt totals for both the Saints and Falcons during the game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the verified result. The total combined attempts will determine the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact the game plan. News regarding coaching strategies or expected game flow—for example, if one team is expected to be significantly ahead or behind—could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes to the offensive line could also cause volatility. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.