TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether each player will surpass various yardage thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback achieves the specified passing yard threshold in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 5, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the total passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage thresholds for both Tyler Shough and Michael Penix Jr., ensuring consistent evaluation for each participating market.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, the prices in this market tend to converge with those offered by sportsbooks, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing risk assessments and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for contracts representing different passing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their prices based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The current price represents the collective expectation of the total passing yards in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yardage statistics for the Atlanta versus New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to the value of the contract that corresponds to the actual total passing yards achieved during the game. Any disputes regarding the official statistics will be resolved using the official NFL data as the final authority.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would be major catalysts. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence the passing game and shift prices. Game-day news, like starting lineup announcements or strategic adjustments, will likely cause movement. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also affect trading activity and the overall price of contracts in this market.