TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific Atlanta Falcons quarterbacks in an upcoming game against New Orleans, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each player achieves. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' in-game statistics, reflecting their offensive contributions.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by designated Atlanta Falcons quarterbacks—Tyler Shough or Michael Penix Jr.—during the game against New Orleans on Oct 5, 2026. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a snap is taken, resolution depends strictly on the total passing touchdowns achieved, even if plays are later nullified by penalties. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, etc.), and resolution to 'Yes' occurs only if the player meets or exceeds that threshold. The markets are independent of league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and analysis faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. However, both offer different perspectives on the likely result of the Atlanta vs New Orleans game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the number of passing touchdowns. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice-versa. This creates a real-time indication of the predicted outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final statistics for the Atlanta vs New Orleans game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of passing touchdowns scored during the game, as recorded by official league statistics. The market will then determine which outcome – the number of passing touchdowns – was correctly predicted by traders. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor passing or running offenses, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about defensive strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, general shifts in public perception, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can influence trading activity and therefore the prices within this market.