TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks quarterback performance in a specific NFL matchup, focusing on how often each player attempts passes during the game. It allows participants to speculate on whether certain players will exceed defined attempt thresholds. Outcomes depend entirely on in-game statistics for the designated quarterbacks.
All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by specified Atlanta Falcons quarterbacks during the game against New Orleans on October 5, 2026. If a quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a snap occurs—even if later nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to the actual passing attempts recorded during play. All markets operate independently, with each threshold (e.g., 26+, 31+, 36+, etc.) requiring distinct achievement for resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the NFL or its teams, and all league trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially incorporating information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, leading to potentially different probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome, and comparing them can offer valuable insights into differing viewpoints on the Saints vs Falcons game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total passing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand within the Kalshi exchange, based on participants’ individual predictions for the game.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt totals for the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined passing attempts, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances following the official confirmation.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key quarterback injuries for either the Saints or Falcons would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a severe storm is predicted, could also impact the expected passing volume. Late-breaking reports on team strategies or defensive adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, even if not directly reflected in the odds, can sometimes influence trading behavior in this market.