TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This set of markets focuses on individual player performance in an upcoming NFL matchup, calculating payouts based on fantasy points scored. Each contract's value fluctuates according to the player's performance, with specific rounding and capping rules applied to determine final payments.
These markets resolve based on the Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy-point totals accumulated by specified Atlanta and New Orleans players during their game on Oct 5, 2026, as reported by Sleeper. For each player market, the Yes payout equals $0.01 multiplied by the player's weekly fantasy points, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No payout is calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If a player records negative points, the Yes payout becomes $0.00 and the No payout becomes $1.00. Should Sleeper fail to assign a fantasy-point total for the specified week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a $0.00 Yes payout and a $1.00 No payout. All payouts scale proportionally with contract positions, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the NFL.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. Early in the market's life, you might see significant discrepancies, but as more people trade, the prediction market odds tend to become more efficient and accurate, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sports betting outlets. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing expectations regarding the Atlanta vs New Orleans game.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final results of the Atlanta vs New Orleans game, as reported by official sources. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predicted outcome matched the actual result. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final outcome and market settlement.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Key player injuries, unexpected changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Any news regarding player availability, performance updates, or coaching decisions will likely be closely watched. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also influence trading activity and cause the market to react. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.