TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team needs to score for the market to settle as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on whether either Atlanta or New Orleans exceeds specified point thresholds during the first half of their game scheduled for October 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different scoring benchmark for either team, ranging from modest to very high point totals. If the designated team achieves or surpasses its respective threshold at any point in the first half, the associated market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially connected with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Therefore, you might see discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information sources, differing levels of expertise among participants, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updating market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, Atlanta over 27.5 1H points scored, demonstrates where the most conviction currently lies, though prices can change rapidly based on trading activity and external factors.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half point totals for both the Atlanta and New Orleans teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by the governing body of the league. The market will determine which side, Atlanta or New Orleans, exceeds their respective point total as defined in the market contracts available on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Atlanta or New Orleans teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Game-day weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or late-breaking news, could move this market. Finally, even the volume of trading itself – a sudden surge in activity – can indicate a change in market sentiment and lead to price adjustments.