TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of first-half and full-game outcomes in an upcoming football match. Each market requires both the first-half result and the final game result to match a predetermined scenario for resolution. The outcomes cover all possible win conditions, including ties, for both halves and the full match.
Each market resolves based on the combined outcome of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the specified Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 5, 2026. For a market to resolve as Yes, both the first half result and the full game result must exactly match the conditions specified in the market's primary rule. If either the first half or full game result does not match the specified condition, the market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing New Orleans, for example, they will buy 'yes' contracts, driving up the price and potentially creating a difference between the two. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of New Orleans winning both the first half and the full game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more traders buy contracts predicting New Orleans will win, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market reflects the collective assessment of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atlanta versus New Orleans NBA game, specifically whether New Orleans wins both the first half and the full game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning contract. No further information about the specific resolution process is available at this time.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries for either the Atlanta or New Orleans teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team lineups, coaching decisions, or even pre-game reports about player performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market. Furthermore, general public perception and analysis from sports commentators could influence trading activity, potentially leading to price fluctuations before Oct 6, 2026.