TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This match assesses Atlanta's capacity to dominate Miami with different winning margins. Resolution hinges exclusively on the regulation-time result, disregarding any post-match tiebreakers.
Resolution depends only on the Atlanta vs Miami professional MLS soccer game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Atlanta wins by more than 2.5 goals (i.e., at least 3 goals), if Atlanta wins by more than 1.5 goals (i.e., at least 2 goals), if Miami wins by more than 1.5 goals (i.e., at least 2 goals), or if Miami wins by more than 2.5 goals (i.e., at least 3 goals). Kalshi states no official connection to the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with—and sometimes diverging from—sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets offer slightly different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges and public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Atlanta vs Miami game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of the game’s expected outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Atlanta vs Miami game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the actual point difference between the final scores of both teams. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Atlanta or Miami teams would likely cause movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis could also affect trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even late-breaking news about team morale, can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their expectations.