TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:46 PM EST
Kalshi
The Atlanta versus Miami MLS match on October 17, 2026, will be evaluated to see if both teams score at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time. The event outcome is contingent on each team's ability to score during the standard duration of the game.
If Atlanta and Miami both score a goal in the Atlanta vs Miami MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. However, initial sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for assessing the market's starting point and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Atlanta and Miami will score during the match. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a 'yes' contract (both teams score) or a 'no' contract (one or both teams fail to score), and reflects the collective assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Atlanta and Miami score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net, and that information will be used to settle all outstanding contracts. The outcome will be based on the final score as recorded by official sources, and any potential overtime or penalty shootouts will be considered as part of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atlanta or Miami would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and alter the price. Team form leading up to the match and any tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also be catalysts for price movement.