TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Miami will win a professional MLS soccer game against Atlanta, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Currently, Kalshi gives Miami a 91.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 7.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the game as determined by the official outcome, per the resolution source. Participants should closely watch for the final whistle on October 17, 2026, as the market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of October 18, 2026.
The event determines the winner of the Atlanta versus Miami professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If Atlanta wins within this timeframe, the 'Atlanta' market resolves to Yes. If Miami achieves the victory under the same conditions, the 'Miami' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform’s guidelines. The operator explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts often predict a close contest, but this market provides a real-money incentive for accurate forecasting, potentially leading to a more refined prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Atlanta vs Miami game as reported by official sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final contract price, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, could also influence the price of contracts. Additionally, large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and trigger further price adjustments. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 18, 2026.