TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various point-spread scenarios for an upcoming women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and Golden State. Participants can speculate on whether the winning team will cover different point margins. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score of the contest.
All markets resolve based on the point differential of the Atlanta vs Golden State women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold: Golden State winning by more than 13.5, 10.5, 7.5, or 4.5 points, or Atlanta winning by more than 1.5, 3.5, 6.5, or 9.5 points resolves that respective market to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand from traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. However, as the event approaches, the prices on Kalshi often converge with those found at major sportsbooks, reflecting a collective assessment of the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different point spreads. The current price reflects the probability that the actual point spread will fall within the range defined by the contract. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic process allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust the price accordingly, offering a real-time assessment of the likely outcome of the Atlanta versus Golden State game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Atlanta versus Golden State game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will then settle to 100 for the winning contract—the one closest to the actual spread—and 0 for all others. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid upon purchase.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the event, or shifts in public sentiment driven by media coverage and expert analysis, could also cause the market to move. Major upsets in other playoff games or changes in the perceived strength of either team would likely lead to adjustments in the price on Kalshi as traders react to the new information.