TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
The market determines which team will lead at the end of the second half of regulation time in an upcoming women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and Golden State. It focuses solely on the performance during that specific half, excluding any overtime periods.
This market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the second half of regulation time in the specified women's professional basketball game. Only points scored during that half count. If both teams score equally, the market resolves as a tie. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, the markets resolve at a fair price. Overtime periods are excluded from consideration.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, but may be influenced by biases or the need to balance action on both sides. This market, however, is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk, which tends to lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbook odds are readily available, the dynamic pricing in a prediction market can offer a unique perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a team will win the second half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team has the higher score at the conclusion of the second half of the game between Atlanta and Golden State. The official box score will serve as the determining factor. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atlanta or Golden State would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as a surprising win or loss, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or player matchups might prompt adjustments in the market. Unexpected announcements regarding player availability or changes in the starting lineup are also likely to move this market as traders react to the new information.