TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various scoring thresholds for the second half of a specific women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and Golden State. Each threshold represents a different point total that, if exceeded by both teams combined during that half, determines the outcome of its respective market. The markets focus solely on the second half performance, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of both teams in the second half of the specified Atlanta vs Golden State Women's Pro Basketball game exceeds a predetermined threshold. Each market features a distinct threshold, ranging from 64.5 to 82.5 points. Overtime periods are explicitly excluded from all calculations. If the originally scheduled game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this window, all markets resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent views. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling across both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets often incorporate more information and adjust more quickly to new developments than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the second half total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Atlanta Hawks versus Golden State Warriors game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The total points scored in the second half will be compared to the market’s thresholds to establish which contracts settle at 100 and which settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Warriors or the Hawks would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in starting lineups, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions (potentially impacting pace of play) could also affect trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game, or even pre-game analysis suggesting a shift in expected scoring, could lead to adjustments in the price of contracts for this market.