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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:53 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a women's professional basketball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date. The outcome depends on whether the game goes into overtime during its course. This determines the resolution of the related market condition.
If there is at least 1 overtime period in the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of overtime in the Atlanta versus Golden State game. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they incorporate a wider range of information and incentives. However, sportsbook odds provide a useful benchmark for understanding public perception and potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell shares representing the probability of overtime occurring. The price of a 'yes' share fluctuates between 0 and 100, representing a 0% to 100% implied probability. As more people believe overtime is likely, the price of 'yes' shares increases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of traders participating in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Atlanta Hawks versus Golden State Warriors game goes to overtime, as determined by official game statistics. The final score and official game results will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is triggered. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Hawks or Warriors could significantly shift expectations. Changes in betting lines at sportsbooks, even if differing from this market, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions leading up to the game could cause movement. Finally, general news and analysis surrounding the teams’ recent performance and head-to-head records could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.