TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets allows participants to wager on which team will dominate the first half of the same Atlanta versus Golden State women's professional basketball game. The focus is exclusively on the initial half's scoring, with no consideration given to overtime scenarios.
Markets determine the winner based on which team scores the most points in the first half of regulation, excluding overtime. A tied score results in the 'Tie' outcome winning. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the rescheduled game finishes within two days; if the game isn’t played or is rescheduled beyond this period, markets resolve fairly. Kalshi states no official connection to the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of them winning the first half. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first half of the game, as officially recorded by the NBA, will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be determined independently of the platform. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Atlanta or Golden State teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching decisions could also move the market. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could influence trader behavior. Finally, early game performance, even in the first few minutes, can trigger rapid adjustments as traders react to unfolding events.