TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of combined scoring in the final quarter of a specific women's professional basketball game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that bettors can evaluate. The outcomes depend solely on the actual points scored during that quarter, without considering any additional periods.
All markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the fourth quarter of the designated women's basketball game exceed specified thresholds, ranging from 27.5 to 45.5 points. Overtime periods are explicitly excluded from point totals for resolution purposes. If the originally scheduled game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the new date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, all markets resolve at a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. You may find that this market’s odds diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or as public perception shifts. It's common to see differences in probabilities assigned to various outcomes, offering a distinct perspective on the likely result of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the 4th quarter total. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome being correct, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on their own analysis and new information, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Atlanta versus Golden State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be compared to the different contract levels offered on Kalshi to determine which contracts settle as winners. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Warriors or Atlanta would likely cause shifts in the odds, as would updates on team strategies or changes in coaching decisions. In-game performance during the first three quarters could also impact trading activity, with traders adjusting their positions based on observed momentum and scoring trends. Unexpected events, such as foul trouble for key players or significant officiating calls, could also contribute to volatility in this market.