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$271,200,656

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2,984,640,614

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$1,922,627,141

420,368

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4,484

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5

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Atlanta vs Golden State: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Atlanta vs Golden State?

Volume:
$2,492

Golden State wins by over 1.5 points

 - Kalshi

Golden State wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 5:53 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Golden State wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$956
N/A
N/A
$651
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Golden State wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$221
N/A
N/A
$210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Golden State wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$438
N/A
N/A
$438
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
$221
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

These markets track how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a specific women's professional basketball game. Each outcome represents different point-margin thresholds that must be met or exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential by which either Atlanta or Golden State wins the fourth quarter of the designated women's professional basketball game, with overtime periods excluded from consideration. Four separate markets exist for Golden State winning by margins exceeding 9.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 1.5 points, while three corresponding markets exist for Atlanta winning by margins exceeding 1.5, 3.5, or 6.5 points. If the originally scheduled game is postponed or delayed, all markets remain open and automatically close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided this occurs within two days of the new date. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets resolve at a fair price according to the platform's standard procedures. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NBA 4th quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the point differential in the fourth quarter of the Atlanta versus Golden State game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,584. Total volume for this market is $2,492. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the 4th quarter spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or an opportunity for arbitrage. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind various predictions. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter spread of the Atlanta versus Golden State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NBA. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount depends on the final price of the contracts at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Atlanta or Golden State teams would likely cause significant movement. Game-day reports on player health and potential tactical adjustments could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' relative strengths could drive changes in the market price as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.