TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific quarter in an upcoming women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and Golden State. It allows participants to speculate on which team will dominate during the third quarter and by how much. The event is tied to a single game, with resolution based solely on the performance in that designated quarter.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the third quarter of the Atlanta vs Golden State women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. Multiple markets cover varying thresholds of victory for either team, ranging from narrow margins to larger point spreads. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move to reflect that collective opinion, potentially offering a different value than available at sportsbooks. It’s a good practice to compare both to identify potential discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread difference between the Atlanta Hawks and the Golden State Warriors at the end of the third quarter. The official score from the game will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Warriors or the Hawks would likely cause significant movement. Game-day reports on player health and potential tactical adjustments could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, might also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team covering the spread could lead to price fluctuations in this market.