TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of a professional basketball game between Atlanta and Golden State. It tracks performance during a defined segment of play, offering participants a way to evaluate short-term team efficiency rather than overall game outcomes.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the second quarter of regulation time in the specified women’s professional basketball game. If the teams finish the quarter tied, the 'Tie' outcome wins while all team-specific outcomes lose. Should the originally scheduled game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, all markets resolve at a fair price. Only points scored during the specified quarter count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information as traders buy and sell contracts. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting venues. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular team will win the second quarter, the price of that contract increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of each team emerging victorious in the second quarter of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Atlanta vs Golden State game will be declared the winner. Official NBA statistics and game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning team. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Atlanta or Golden State teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected performance from key players during the first quarter could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could impact the perceived probabilities. Even public perception and social media buzz surrounding the game could contribute to fluctuations in the market price before the second quarter concludes.