TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Atlanta vs Golden State: 1st Quarter Winner
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What is the result of Atlanta vs Golden State?

Volume:
$20,344

Atlanta

 - Kalshi

Atlanta - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 4:53 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Atlanta

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,550
N/A
N/A
$6,058
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Golden State

0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,264
N/A
N/A
$8,177
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,530
N/A
N/A
$1,351
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of an upcoming women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and Golden State. It covers the specific scenario where either team scores more points than the other in that quarter, or where the quarter ends in a tie.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team scores the most points in the first quarter of regulation time of the specified Atlanta vs. Golden State women's professional basketball game. If one team scores more points than the other, that team's market resolves to Yes, and the others resolve to No. If both teams score an equal number of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes, and all team-specific markets resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, all markets resolve at a fair price. Only points scored during the specified quarter count toward the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NBA 1st quarter market tracks the current price of contracts representing each possible outcome—which team will win the first quarter. You’ll also find a price history chart visualizing how the odds have changed over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $20,210. Total volume for this market is $20,232. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within the first quarter of the Atlanta versus Golden State game.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each team winning the first quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of victory. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the event.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first quarter of the Atlanta versus Golden State game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or starting lineups for either the Atlanta or Golden State teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Pre-game analysis from respected sports analysts and any unexpected changes in public sentiment could also impact trading volume and price movement. Even early scoring plays within the first few minutes of the game could trigger rapid adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events.