TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:18 PM EST
Kalshi
The Atlanta vs Cincinnati MLS match on October 10, 2026 will be observed to see if both sides can find the net at least once during the regular playing time, which includes the 90 minutes and any subsequent stoppage time.
If Atlanta and Cincinnati both score a goal in the Atlanta vs Cincinnati MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can present potential opportunities for arbitrage, but it's important to understand the different dynamics at play when comparing the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Atlanta and Cincinnati will score during the match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. The higher the price, the greater the perceived chance of both teams scoring, and vice versa. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Atlanta and Cincinnati score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match results, as reported by recognized sports data providers, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The result will be based on goals scored during regulation time only – any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered in determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atlanta or Cincinnati would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news are also likely to shift the market. Furthermore, general shifts in public perception, driven by media coverage or social media discussion, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.