TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Atlanta and Chicago Fire. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Atlanta vs Chicago Fire MLS match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty phases are excluded from all calculations. The markets are independent assessments of scoring volume, with each threshold representing a distinct predictive measure of offensive performance in the match. All markets operate under the same temporal and procedural conditions, focusing solely on regular-time scoring outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome, although this market is driven by traders’ beliefs about the event, not necessarily statistical probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and offer to sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the specified number of goals are scored in the Atlanta vs Chicago match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal count of the Atlanta vs Chicago match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, as reported by recognized sports data providers. The market will determine which total goals outcome was achieved, and contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will pay out to their holders. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atlanta or Chicago Fire would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Late-breaking team news, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.