TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market concerns the outcome of the second half of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match between Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC. Participants are predicting which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the two teams will score the same number of goals (a draw).
In the upcoming MLS game between Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta United FC" if Atlanta United FC score more goals than Toronto FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC score more goals than Atlanta United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta United FC" if Atlanta United FC score more goals than Toronto FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC score more goals than Atlanta United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders than Predict, leading to differing assessments of the probabilities. Additionally, the liquidity of this market – the volume of trades occurring – can vary between the two platforms, impacting price discovery. Different fee structures or interface designs could also contribute to these divergences. These factors create independent price signals, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.