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Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries?

Volume:
$6,099,507

Golden State

 - Kalshi

Golden State - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 5:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Golden State

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,880,218
N/A
N/A
$1,406,852
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$146,201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 76.5

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$654
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -1.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 6.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Angel Reese: Points O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

4Q Spread -0.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gabby Williams: Points O/U 18.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 10.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Allisha Gray: Points O/U 15.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,952,044
N/A
N/A
$1,068,500
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,060,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 154.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 153.5

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2H Spread -1.5

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Angel Reese: Points O/U 14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 48

Intro

This market tracks whether Allisha Gray will exceed 1.5 assists in the Atlanta Dream versus Golden State Valkyries WNBA game. Currently, the consensus probability of Gray exceeding 1.5 assists is 99.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the final game statistics reported on https://www.wnba.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 17th, 2026, as that is when the final assist totals will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lists an incorrect date (2026) and a win condition that doesn't differentiate between the two teams, rendering it fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi markets. They are based on an incorrect date and a flawed resolution criteria. Focus exclusively on the Polymarket markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the final score of the game, including overtime, as reported on WNBA.com. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Atlanta or Golden State wins the game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. This date is incorrect and the win condition is ambiguous.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the women's professional basketball game between the two teams on the originally scheduled date. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, reflect the collective wisdom of traders and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by actual money being wagered on the outcome. This difference can create opportunities for arbitrage, where discrepancies allow traders to profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially closer to the event date, as they incorporate a wider range of information.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the WNBA matchup can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing market structures and the types of traders participating on each platform contribute to these variations. For example, Polymarket might attract more casual bettors, while Kalshi could be favored by sophisticated traders. These differences in participation and trading behavior lead to distinct price signals for the same event.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before its resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Atlanta Dream or the Golden State Valkyries would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team performance during other games could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, large volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can quickly shift prices, reflecting a change in market consensus. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.