TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points specifically in the fourth quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team during the final quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
If New Orleans wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with – but sometimes diverging from – traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own beliefs, leading to potential differences. If a significant amount of money flows toward one outcome in this market, the price will move, potentially signaling a different expectation than what is currently offered by sportsbooks. It's a dynamic comparison, as both adjust based on new information and betting activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism where the market itself determines the odds, rather than a fixed oddsmaker. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is winning at the end of the fourth quarter of the Falcons-Saints game. The final score, as officially recorded, will determine the winning team and thus the outcome of this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable game results, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Falcons or the Saints would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, even public sentiment and betting patterns observed leading up to the game can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.