TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the final quarter of an upcoming football game. Bettors predict whether the total points will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout. The outcome depends solely on in-game performance during that specific period.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints exclusively during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 5, 2026, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market has a different threshold: if the total points exceed 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points, the respective 'Yes' outcome resolves. The markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately against the actual 4th quarter scoring. All markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal areas where the market believes there’s value or mispricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the 4th quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The market price essentially represents the consensus forecast for the final 4th quarter total between the Falcons and the Saints.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter total from the Falcons-Saints game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. The market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the 4th quarter total, based on the final score. Traders should monitor official sources for the game results to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before game day. Injury reports for key players on both the Falcons and the Saints are significant catalysts, as are any changes in weather forecasts. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team morale could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any public statements from players or coaches might impact trading activity. Finally, even in-game events during the first three quarters could cause the market to react and adjust its predictions.