TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points during the third quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints. It captures the short-term performance of each team within a specific segment of the game, rather than the overall result.
If New Orleans wins the 3rd Quarter of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta wins the 3rd Quarter of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market's prices are determined by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, or when new information becomes available. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with those offered by major sportsbooks, reflecting a shared understanding of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about which team will win the third quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the third quarter of the Atlanta Falcons versus New Orleans Saints game will determine the winning contract. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to verify the outcome. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the third-quarter winner based on their holdings in the corresponding contracts.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either the Falcons or the Saints would undoubtedly have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also shift sentiment. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Finally, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could provide clues and influence traders' expectations for the third quarter.