TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled game on October 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity in that quarter.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the specified game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams in the third quarter exceed the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The official game date and teams are fixed, and all markets are subject to the same underlying game outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates opinions from individuals with varying levels of expertise. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set the odds, this market can dynamically adjust based on real-time trading activity, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the probability that the 3rd quarter total will be greater than the listed value. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving beliefs of those trading in the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly informative and liquid market for forecasting the 3rd quarter total.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 3rd quarter total from the Falcons-Saints game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the market settles above or below the threshold price. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final result. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on verifiable data from the event itself.
Several factors could influence trading in this market before the game concludes. Injury reports for key players on either the Falcons or Saints would be a significant catalyst, as they directly impact scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game's scoring pace. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also lead to shifts in market sentiment. Finally, any significant in-game events during the first half, like a dominant performance by one team, could prompt traders to adjust their predictions.