TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming NFL game between the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints. It specifically evaluates performance from the third quarter onward, including any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
If New Orleans wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely result or that one venue has incorporated information the other hasn’t. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Falcons or the Saints will win the second half. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the Falcons will win, the price of the 'yes' contract increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a real-time assessment of the potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the second half of the Falcons versus Saints game will determine the settlement of this market. The platform will verify the official result against publicly available data sources to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome will be triggered. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Falcons or the Saints would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead to shifts in the market price as traders adjust their predictions based on the evolving game dynamics.