TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether the combined score of the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints in the second half of their football game will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the points scored after halftime, including any overtime periods.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints during the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 5, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined second-half points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All thresholds are incremental, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Only points scored in the second half and any subsequent overtime periods count toward these markets. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that there's an opportunity for arbitrage. It’s common to see the market odds shift as new information becomes available, potentially leading or lagging behind sportsbook movements.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format, where buyers and sellers set the price based on their expectations. Traders are essentially betting on the probability of the total points scored in the second half falling above or below a certain threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the implied probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value, reflecting collective intelligence about the game.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the second half of the Falcons-Saints game will be used to determine the winning side of the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before game end. Significant news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could affect trader sentiment. Even the flow of the first half of the game itself, if it indicates a trend in scoring, could lead to substantial price adjustments.