TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints during the first quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring levels in the opening quarter.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams exceed the threshold specified in a market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as the market incorporates a wider range of perspectives than a sportsbook’s initial assessment. This can offer opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Falcons-Saints 1st quarter total. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates greater confidence in that outcome, while a lower price suggests less confidence. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and updates.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the first quarter of the Falcons-Saints game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verification. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for winning contracts shortly after the game concludes. The market’s resolution is based on objective data and is not subject to interpretation.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Falcons or the Saints would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions – particularly if they affect the passing or running game – could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or significant team adjustments could influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to shifts in the price as traders adjust their predictions based on new information and evolving expectations.