TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks which team—the Atlanta Falcons or the New Orleans Saints—will be winning at halftime of their upcoming NFL game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Atlanta winning the first half, with New Orleans at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the first half of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will ultimately be settled based on the final score at the end of the first half on October 6, 2026.
If New Orleans wins the 1st Half of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta wins the 1st Half of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the ATL Falcons vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand among traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling across both venues. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring, and differences can stem from varying information or analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders submit buy and sell orders for shares representing each possible outcome. The price of a share indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of either the Falcons or the Saints winning the first half of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the game between the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Falcons or the Saints would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any significant public statements from coaches or players, or even shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, could influence trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market. Unexpected line movements in traditional sports betting could also be a signal.