TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the total points scored in the first half of the Atlanta Falcons versus New Orleans Saints football game will exceed 23.5 points. Currently, the probability of over 23.5 first-half points scoring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the actual point total scored during the first half of the game, as originally scheduled for October 5, 2026. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the first half played on or before the resolution date of October 6, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints during the first half of their game scheduled for October 5, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 3.5, 7.5, 10.5 points, etc.), and if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The governing league’s official scoring and game timing determine outcomes, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions among bettors. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming you have a strong conviction about the true outcome. It’s always wise to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible first half totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. Essentially, the market price represents the expected value, and traders aim to profit by identifying mispricings. The more volume traded, the more confidence you can have in the market's accuracy as a forecasting tool.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total from the Falcons-Saints game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the actual total was above or below the contract's specified value. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, relying on publicly available data to ensure an accurate and fair outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Falcons or the Saints would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift prices, reflecting changes in overall market sentiment regarding the Falcons-Saints first half total.