TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market concerns the outcome of the second half of a La Liga match between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad de Fútbol. Users are betting on which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the result will be a draw. The markets exclude first-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletic Club" if Athletic Club score more goals than Real Sociedad de Fútbol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Athletic Club and Real Sociedad de Fútbol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol score more goals than Athletic Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletic Club" if Athletic Club score more goals than Real Sociedad de Fútbol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Athletic Club and Real Sociedad de Fútbol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol score more goals than Athletic Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate predictions through financial rewards. This market’s price can diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among participants, and the incentive structures inherent in each system. The current volume of $40 suggests active trading and evolving probabilities.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights into the Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad second half, leading to distinct price discovery. Furthermore, the 24-hour volume of $39 can fluctuate independently on each platform, influencing price movements. Different fee structures or liquidity provisions on each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies, creating arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.