TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming La Liga game between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Athletic Club and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each exact first-half score. It's common to see this market exhibit greater accuracy in predicting outcomes, especially when compared to initial sportsbook lines, though discrepancies can occur based on public perception and differing risk appetites.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different possible exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential result, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations for the Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad first half score.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half score of the Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score at the end of the first half, as determined by official match statistics. Any potential delays in official reporting may impact the resolution timeline, but the platform will strive for a swift and accurate determination of the winning outcome based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to resolution. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Athletic Club or Real Sociedad could significantly shift probabilities. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, might also play a role. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from respected football commentators or analysts could sway trader sentiment and cause fluctuations in the prices of shares representing different exact scores.